← Jupiler Pro League 2010-11 · Sat, Mar 5, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk win | 44% | 58% | 2.10 | value: +22% |
| Draw | 29% | 25% | 3.25 | fair |
| Charleroi win | 27% | 17% | 3.60 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 277.00 | 185.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1551.03 | 1442.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.71 | 44.89 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 34.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 0.69 |
| state index | -0.39 | 0.11 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |