← Jupiler Pro League 2010-11 · Wed, Feb 23, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 38% | 34% | 2.45 | fair |
| Mechelen win | 34% | 37% | 2.75 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 29% | 3.30 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 298.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| elo | 1467.13 | 1585.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.96 | 14.32 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| league points | 23.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 1.60 |
| state index | -0.61 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |