← Jupiler Pro League 2010-11 · Wed, Feb 16, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 45% | 45% | 2.10 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | 3.30 | fair |
| Germinal win | 27% | 28% | 3.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Germinal | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 230.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1485.41 | 1697.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.22 | 14.55 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| league points | 21.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 0.84 | 1.96 |
| state index | -0.38 | 1.07 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |