← Jupiler Pro League 2010-11 · Sun, Feb 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 41% | 36% | 2.30 | fair |
| Kortrijk win | 31% | 38% | 3.25 | value: +23% |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | 3.30 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 257.00 | 227.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1575.23 | 1689.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.90 | -14.58 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| league points | 34.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.92 |
| state index | 0.03 | 0.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |