← Jupiler Pro League 2010-11 · Sat, Feb 12, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 73% | 73% | 1.25 | fair |
| Draw | 18% | 17% | 5.00 | fair |
| Club Brugge win | 9% | 10% | 11.00 | value: +6% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2052.00 | 1413.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| elo | 1860.94 | 1629.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.88 | -43.14 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 1.69 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| league points | 57.00 | 71.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 2.28 | 1.55 |
| state index | 1.92 | -0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |