← Jupiler Pro League 2010-11 · Sat, Feb 5, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 76% | 85% | 1.20 | fair |
| Draw | 15% | 11% | 6.00 | fair |
| St Truiden win | 8% | 4% | 11.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2045.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1858.70 | 1481.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.31 | 6.61 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| league points | 54.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 2.25 | 1.00 |
| state index | 1.90 | -0.44 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |