← Jupiler Pro League 2010-11 · Sat, Jan 29, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokeren win | 62% | 56% | 1.57 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 24% | 4.00 | fair |
| AS Eupen win | 14% | 20% | 7.00 | value: +37% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lokeren | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 273.00 | 150.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1561.35 | 1461.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.39 | -19.78 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| league points | 35.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 0.73 |
| state index | 0.38 | -0.73 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |