← Jupiler Pro League 2010-11 · Sat, Jan 22, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 60% | 80% | 1.53 | value: +23% ⚠ |
| Draw | 25% | 13% | 3.80 | fair |
| Lierse win | 15% | 7% | 6.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Lierse |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1392.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| elo | 1663.68 | 1410.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.91 | 4.09 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -2.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| league points | 62.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 24.00 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 0.62 |
| state index | 1.32 | -0.89 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |