← Jupiler Pro League 2010-11 · Wed, Dec 29, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germinal win | 47% | 52% | 2.00 | value: +3% |
| Draw | 28% | 25% | 3.50 | fair |
| AS Eupen win | 26% | 23% | 3.75 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Germinal | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 119.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1487.09 | 1480.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.00 | 11.23 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.73 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| league points | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 18.00 | 11.00 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 0.79 |
| state index | -0.77 | -0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |