← Jupiler Pro League 2010-11 · Wed, Dec 29, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 77% | 66% | 1.20 | fair |
| Draw | 16% | 20% | 6.50 | value: +31% |
| Charleroi win | 7% | 14% | 13.00 | value: +76% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1368.00 | 119.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1646.10 | 1400.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.36 | -25.86 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.05 |
| league points | 56.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 14.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 0.37 |
| state index | 0.46 | -1.69 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |