← Jupiler Pro League 2010-11 · Sun, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 45% | 57% | 2.10 | value: +19% |
| Club Brugge win | 28% | 22% | 3.50 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 21% | 3.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 178.00 | 1365.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| elo | 1703.74 | 1625.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.67 | -14.84 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| league points | 38.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 17.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.51 |
| state index | 1.10 | 0.04 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |