← Jupiler Pro League 2010-11 · Sat, Dec 18, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen win | 49% | 48% | 1.91 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 25% | 3.40 | fair |
| Charleroi win | 23% | 27% | 4.00 | value: +8% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Eupen | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 108.00 | 108.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1473.90 | 1406.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.54 | -26.46 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| league points | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 0.39 |
| state index | -0.14 | -1.63 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |