← Jupiler Pro League 2010-11 · Sun, Dec 12, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk win | 57% | 65% | 1.65 | value: +8% |
| Draw | 25% | 23% | 3.75 | fair |
| Lierse win | 18% | 12% | 5.25 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Lierse |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 194.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1582.16 | 1400.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.94 | -18.16 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 24.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 0.53 |
| state index | 0.25 | -1.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |