← Jupiler Pro League 2010-11 · Sat, Dec 11, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 69% | 74% | 1.36 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 17% | 5.00 | fair |
| St Truiden win | 11% | 9% | 9.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 923.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1658.31 | 1486.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.51 | 8.91 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 30.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.11 |
| state index | 0.43 | -0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |