← Jupiler Pro League 2010-11 · Sat, Dec 11, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 76% | 72% | 1.22 | fair |
| Draw | 16% | 18% | 5.75 | fair |
| Charleroi win | 7% | 11% | 13.00 | value: +38% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 163.00 | 101.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1701.42 | 1408.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.70 | -20.98 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.10 |
| league points | 35.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| season ppg | 1.94 | 0.41 |
| state index | 1.07 | -1.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |