← Jupiler Pro League 2010-11 · Sat, Dec 11, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 74% | 73% | 1.25 | fair |
| Draw | 18% | 16% | 5.50 | fair |
| AS Eupen win | 8% | 11% | 11.00 | value: +19% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 375.00 | 101.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1678.82 | 1480.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.18 | 35.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.89 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | — |
| league points | 39.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.17 | 0.71 |
| state index | 0.94 | 0.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |