← Jupiler Pro League 2010-11 · Sun, Dec 5, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 59% | 52% | 1.62 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 26% | 3.80 | fair |
| Westerlo win | 17% | 22% | 5.50 | value: +19% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1344.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1626.96 | 1570.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.02 | 21.52 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 44.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.41 |
| state index | -0.03 | 0.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |