← Jupiler Pro League 2010-11 · Sat, Dec 4, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 47% | 52% | 2.00 | value: +5% |
| Draw | 26% | 22% | 3.50 | fair |
| AS Eupen win | 26% | 25% | 3.60 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Eupen | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 94.00 | 156.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1491.68 | 1690.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 42.76 | 19.94 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.40 |
| league points | 12.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 1.88 |
| state index | 0.38 | 0.85 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |