← Jupiler Pro League 2010-11 · Sat, Nov 27, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 57% | 57% | 1.65 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 3.75 | fair |
| AS Eupen win | 18% | 19% | 5.50 | value: +4% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 87.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1574.55 | 1487.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.66 | 60.07 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.96 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| league points | 23.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 0.73 |
| state index | 0.42 | 0.66 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |