← Jupiler Pro League 2010-11 · Sat, Nov 27, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 78% | 83% | 1.20 | fair |
| Draw | 15% | 12% | 6.50 | fair |
| Charleroi win | 7% | 5% | 15.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1975.00 | 87.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1841.55 | 1410.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.10 | -26.49 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.05 |
| league points | 34.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.13 | 0.44 |
| state index | 1.58 | -1.46 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |