← Jupiler Pro League 2009-10 · Sat, Dec 5, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
| Germinal win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Germinal |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 552.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1754.82 | 1613.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -60.11 | 27.55 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| league points | 24.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| state index | 0.39 | 0.84 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |