← Jupiler Pro League 2006-07 · Sat, May 5, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Royal Excel Mouscron win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Waregem win | 28% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Royal Excel Mouscron | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 2134.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1502.37 | 1499.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.03 | -30.79 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| league points | 35.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.16 |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.57 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |