← Jupiler Pro League 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bergen win | 54% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Lierse win | 20% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bergen | Lierse |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1491.30 | 1388.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 52.71 | 2.24 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| league points | 33.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 0.59 |
| state index | 0.81 | -0.93 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |