← Jupiler Pro League 2004-05 · Wed, Mar 9, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 44% | 2.00 |
| Germinal win | 28% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Germinal | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 336.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1472.91 | 1666.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.59 | 24.74 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 23.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.96 |
| state index | -0.93 | 1.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |