← Ligue 2 2015-16 · Fri, May 13, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 64% | 55% | 1.52 | fair |
| Draw | 21% | 26% | 4.65 | value: +19% |
| Bourg Peronnas win | 15% | 19% | 6.58 | value: +28% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Bourg Peronnas |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 194.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1553.20 | 1453.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.01 | -30.36 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| league points | 62.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.27 |
| state index | 0.45 | -0.67 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |