← Ligue 2 2015-16 · Fri, May 13, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laval win | 52% | 47% | 1.89 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 33% | 3.74 | value: +24% |
| Paris FC win | 22% | 20% | 4.37 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Laval | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2143.00 | 317.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1445.31 | 1408.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.10 | 0.45 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| league points | 41.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 0.81 |
| state index | -0.40 | -0.48 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |