← Ligue 2 2015-16 · Fri, May 6, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bourg Peronnas win | 41% | 36% | 2.40 | fair |
| Racing Club de Lens win | 30% | 35% | 3.27 | value: +13% |
| Draw | 29% | 30% | 3.31 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bourg Peronnas | Racing Club de Lens |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 1070.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1443.58 | 1509.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.05 | 3.42 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| league points | 44.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.53 |
| state index | -0.70 | -0.04 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |