← Ligue 2 2015-16 · Mon, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 55% | 54% | 1.77 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 31% | 3.27 | fair |
| Sochaux win | 15% | 16% | 6.46 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Sochaux |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 937.00 | 207.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1612.53 | 1466.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.22 | 32.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 65.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| season ppg | 1.91 | 1.06 |
| state index | 0.67 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |