← Ligue 2 2015-16 · Mon, Apr 18, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon win | 63% | 64% | 1.55 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | 4.12 | fair |
| Paris FC win | 13% | 11% | 7.22 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dijon | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1387.00 | 292.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1609.15 | 1423.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.64 | 27.26 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| league points | 64.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| season ppg | 1.94 | 0.79 |
| state index | 0.38 | -0.05 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |