← Ligue 2 2015-16 · Fri, Apr 15, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laval win | 39% | 41% | 2.51 | value: +3% |
| Draw | 33% | 34% | 2.94 | fair |
| Evian Thonon Gaillard win | 28% | 25% | 3.50 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Laval | Evian Thonon Gaillard |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2115.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1431.58 | 1436.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -43.20 | -18.82 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| league points | 35.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 0.97 |
| state index | -1.43 | -0.94 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |