← Ligue 2 2015-16 · Mon, Apr 11, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 67% | 68% | 1.45 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 20% | 4.75 | fair |
| Creteil win | 12% | 12% | 7.82 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Creteil |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 923.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1594.06 | 1371.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.02 | 2.88 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| league points | 59.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 0.91 |
| state index | 0.40 | -0.54 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |