← Ligue 2 2015-16 · Mon, Apr 4, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Star win | 52% | 57% | 1.88 | value: +7% |
| Draw | 29% | 33% | 3.33 | value: +9% |
| Paris FC win | 19% | 11% | 5.20 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1373.00 | 278.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1548.61 | 1384.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.21 | -14.38 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| league points | 52.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 16.96 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 0.65 |
| state index | 0.26 | -1.63 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |