← Ligue 2 2015-16 · Mon, Mar 21, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clermont win | 44% | 33% | 2.24 | fair |
| Draw | 32% | 34% | 3.07 | value: +6% |
| Red Star win | 25% | 33% | 3.98 | value: +31% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Clermont | Red Star |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1359.00 | 1359.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1500.50 | 1532.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.22 | -19.09 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| league points | 48.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.63 |
| state index | 0.28 | -0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |