← Ligue 2 2015-16 · Mon, Mar 14, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Star win | 46% | 49% | 2.10 | fair |
| Draw | 32% | 32% | 3.07 | fair |
| AJ Auxerre win | 22% | 19% | 4.46 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | AJ Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1352.00 | 1199.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1552.39 | 1492.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.78 | 6.47 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 49.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.45 |
| state index | 0.33 | -0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |