← Ligue 2 2015-16 · Fri, Mar 11, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niort win | 44% | 54% | 2.21 | value: +19% |
| Draw | 31% | 33% | 3.11 | fair |
| Paris FC win | 24% | 13% | 3.99 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Niort | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 619.00 | 254.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1439.29 | 1400.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.71 | -5.22 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| league points | 28.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 20.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 0.69 |
| state index | -1.01 | -1.57 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |