← Ligue 2 2015-16 · Fri, Mar 11, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Club de Lens win | 44% | 50% | 2.21 | value: +10% |
| Draw | 31% | 29% | 3.13 | fair |
| Clermont win | 25% | 21% | 3.94 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Racing Club de Lens | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1014.00 | 1349.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1514.23 | 1498.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.41 | 1.04 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| league points | 45.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.62 |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |