← Ligue 2 2015-16 · Fri, Mar 11, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creteil win | 41% | 39% | 2.37 | fair |
| Draw | 31% | 27% | 3.13 | fair |
| Evian Thonon Gaillard win | 28% | 34% | 3.53 | value: +19% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Creteil | Evian Thonon Gaillard |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1364.72 | 1448.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.98 | -5.67 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| league points | 25.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 17.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.00 |
| state index | -1.43 | -0.57 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |