← Ligue 2 2015-16 · Mon, Feb 29, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Club de Lens win | 51% | 49% | 1.93 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 29% | 3.27 | fair |
| Evian Thonon Gaillard win | 20% | 22% | 4.96 | value: +7% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Racing Club de Lens | Evian Thonon Gaillard |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1003.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1506.53 | 1462.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.15 | -14.73 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 41.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.07 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.49 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |