← Ligue 2 2015-16 · Sat, Feb 27, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Star win | 53% | 54% | 1.83 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 29% | 3.52 | fair |
| Nimes win | 19% | 17% | 5.11 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Nimes |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1336.00 | 118.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1557.62 | 1467.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.69 | 14.14 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 46.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.33 |
| state index | 0.55 | -0.05 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |