← Ligue 2 2015-16 · Fri, Feb 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creteil win | 43% | 37% | 2.26 | fair |
| Draw | 31% | 29% | 3.13 | fair |
| Laval win | 26% | 33% | 3.79 | value: +26% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Creteil | Laval |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 2066.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1368.66 | 1476.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.49 | -9.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 24.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 1.19 |
| state index | -1.37 | -0.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |