← Ligue 2 2014-15 · Fri, May 22, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orleans win | 60% | 32% | 1.61 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 33% | 4.19 | value: +40% |
| Sochaux win | 17% | 34% | 5.86 | value: +100% ⚠ |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Orleans | Sochaux |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1055.00 | 598.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1402.72 | 1501.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.84 | -26.51 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| league points | 37.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.41 |
| state index | -0.97 | -0.73 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |