← Ligue 2 2014-15 · Fri, May 22, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niort win | 56% | 47% | 1.72 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 30% | 4.02 | value: +20% |
| Laval win | 20% | 23% | 4.97 | value: +16% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Niort | Laval |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 325.00 | 1786.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1499.95 | 1481.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.53 | -2.62 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| league points | 50.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.38 |
| state index | 0.07 | -0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |