← Ligue 2 2014-15 · Fri, May 15, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 43% | 50% | 2.29 | value: +14% |
| Draw | 29% | 26% | 3.35 | fair |
| Creteil win | 28% | 24% | 3.44 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Creteil |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 895.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1488.56 | 1451.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.34 | 5.81 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| league points | 51.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.22 |
| state index | -0.61 | -0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |