← Ligue 2 2014-15 · Fri, May 15, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio GFCO win | 59% | 42% | 1.64 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 31% | 3.98 | value: +25% |
| Niort win | 16% | 26% | 6.08 | value: +61% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio GFCO | Niort |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 318.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1522.50 | 1507.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.12 | 14.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| league points | 62.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 1.39 |
| state index | 0.39 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |