← Ligue 2 2014-15 · Mon, May 11, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers SCO win | 63% | 40% | 1.55 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 33% | 4.08 | value: +34% |
| Sochaux win | 13% | 27% | 7.41 | value: +99% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Angers SCO | Sochaux |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1410.00 | 587.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1533.24 | 1503.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.38 | -35.93 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| league points | 59.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.43 |
| state index | 0.24 | -0.78 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |