← Ligue 2 2014-15 · Fri, May 8, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon win | 76% | 66% | 1.28 | fair |
| Draw | 16% | 21% | 5.91 | value: +24% |
| Chateauroux win | 8% | 13% | 12.94 | value: +63% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dijon | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1041.00 | 584.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1523.85 | 1342.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.14 | 9.79 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 57.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 0.80 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.81 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |