← Ligue 2 2014-15 · Fri, May 1, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers SCO win | 47% | 54% | 2.08 | value: +11% |
| Draw | 30% | 29% | 3.21 | fair |
| Orleans win | 23% | 17% | 4.28 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Angers SCO | Orleans |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1400.00 | 1034.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1527.53 | 1428.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.54 | -21.03 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| league points | 56.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.06 |
| state index | -0.17 | -0.72 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |