← Ligue 2 2014-15 · Tue, Apr 28, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 62% | 51% | 1.58 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 26% | 3.98 | value: +5% |
| Nimes win | 14% | 23% | 7.05 | value: +63% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Nimes |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 120.00 | 1762.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1511.11 | 1442.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.79 | -37.85 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| league points | 47.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.33 |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.97 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |