← Ligue 2 2014-15 · Fri, Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sochaux win | 50% | 45% | 1.96 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 31% | 3.28 | fair |
| Le Havre AC win | 21% | 24% | 4.74 | value: +14% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sochaux | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 570.00 | 116.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1527.87 | 1498.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.09 | 0.16 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| league points | 49.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.38 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.09 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |