← Ligue 2 2014-15 · Fri, Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio GFCO win | 42% | 29% | 2.32 | fair |
| Draw | 32% | 31% | 3.01 | fair |
| Laval win | 25% | 40% | 3.85 | value: +53% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Laval | Ajaccio GFCO |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1758.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1483.71 | 1509.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.92 | 36.92 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| league points | 45.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.75 |
| state index | -0.09 | 0.45 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |